Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.409902 0.482976 0.563459 0.658425 0.767149 0.887464 1.030398
2024-10-20 0.290625 0.384932 0.499450 0.647631 0.833054 1.056074 1.343125
2024-10-27 0.217270 0.318835 0.453008 0.640661 0.893311 1.218286 1.663885
2024-11-03 0.174241 0.279716 0.429584 0.653464 0.973792 1.409014 2.036885
2024-11-10 0.141898 0.247261 0.407137 0.660330 1.042320 1.586304 2.405603
2024-11-17 0.116834 0.219769 0.385720 0.662841 1.101229 1.751975 2.769586
2024-11-24 0.099036 0.199962 0.371959 0.673259 1.170458 1.935962 3.172875
2024-12-01 0.083598 0.180771 0.355423 0.675541 1.225051 2.100149 3.557212
2024-12-08 0.067555 0.156842 0.326319 0.651520 1.232230 2.188459 3.828210
2024-12-15 0.060386 0.148849 0.324582 0.674763 1.320528 2.412990 4.331127
2024-12-22 0.053568 0.140088 0.319790 0.691218 1.397629 2.623792 4.825280
2024-12-29 0.050225 0.138286 0.328359 0.733696 1.525024 2.928599 5.496108
2025-01-05 0.042648 0.125222 0.312137 0.726304 1.560958 3.080467 5.922950
2025-01-12 0.036090 0.113099 0.295940 0.716764 1.591707 3.225541 6.348850
2025-01-19 0.030775 0.102833 0.282070 0.709990 1.626603 3.379972 6.800953
2025-01-26 0.027482 0.097277 0.278210 0.724330 1.705098 3.620744 7.424702
2025-02-02 0.024273 0.091120 0.271815 0.731971 1.770085 3.839958 8.021877
2025-02-09 0.021275 0.084786 0.263846 0.734768 1.824689 4.042348 8.599317
2025-02-16 0.019031 0.080244 0.259760 0.746190 1.898801 4.287870 9.273259
2025-02-23 0.016739 0.074875 0.252473 0.748694 1.953055 4.496730 9.887912
2025-03-02 0.013841 0.066396 0.234807 0.722405 1.938964 4.564206 10.227598
2025-03-09 0.012846 0.064775 0.236905 0.747847 2.047369 4.893619 11.109069
2025-03-16 0.011742 0.062388 0.236268 0.765853 2.139580 5.194344 11.948332